Latest Research

Farm Lending Declines at End of 2019

By Nathan Kauffman and Ty Kreitman
January 16, 2020 | Ag Finance Databook
Growth in farm lending activity slowed in the third quarter of 2019.

New Small Business Commercial and Industrial Loan Balances Decline Year-over-Year and Quarter-over-Quarter

By Christi May-Oder, Assistant Vice President and Brody Smith*, Supervisory Analyst
December 20, 2019 | Small Business Lending Survey
New small business commercial and industrial (C&I) lending declined 14.0 percent in the third quarter of 2019 compared with the third quarter of 2018, a third consecutive quarter of year-over-year declines.

When Don’t Developing Countries Benefit from Capital Account Liberalization? The Role of Labor Market Institutions

By Qingyuan Du, Jun Nie and Shang-Jin Wei
November 26, 2019 | Research Working Paper
Developing countries may fail to benefit from capital account liberalization if their labor markets are rigid.

Risk-Shifting, Regulation, and Government Assistance

By Padma Sharma
November 26, 2019 | Research Working Paper
The elimination of bailouts during the savings and loan crisis in 1989 led thrift institutions to increase their composition of safe assets.

Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risks in a Data-Rich Environment

By Thomas R. Cook and Taeyoung Doh
November 26, 2019 | Research Working Paper
A large set of economic and financial indicators suggests a negligible risk of unexpectedly low real GDP growth but a modest risk of unexpectedly low inflation.
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