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Regional Economic Digest
Fourth Quarter 1998


Regional Economic Update
By Chad Wilkerson

The Tenth District economy began to show signs of weakness in the third quarter of 1998. District manufacturers experienced some difficulties as world demand for their products declined, and construction activity slowed more than normal for the third quarter. Activity in the energy and farm sectors continued to suffer from low commodity prices.

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Survey of Tenth District Manufacturers
By Ricardo C. Gazel

Manufacturing activity in the Kansas City Federal Reserve District was flat in October, according to a quarterly survey of manufacturers across the district. The unchanged activity level followed a small decline in July, suggesting that manufacturing activity continues to slow down in the district. The survey takes a snapshot of manufacturing the first month of each quarter by asking plant managers about a variety of manufacturing indicators (Table 1).

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Survey of Agricultural Credit Conditions
By Michelle Beshear and Russell L. Lamb

Agricultural credit conditions in the Tenth District weakened in the third quarter of 1998, according to a survey of  316 district agricultural bankers. Farmland values posted modest declines, reflecting a pessimistic outlook for commodity prices and farm income. The loan-deposit ratio edged up slightly from the previous quarter to an all-time high. Loan repayment rates continued to slide, and the availability of funds at district agricultural banks fell slightly. In contrast, farm interest rates edged down and the demand for farm loans fell.

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First-Half  Performance of  Community Banks in Tenth District States
By William R. Keeton and Michelle Holloway

Helped by solid growth in the district economy, community banks in Tenth District states turned in another strong performance in the first half of 1998. Despite concerns that financial market turmoil and low commodity prices might eventually take their toll, community banks in Tenth District states were still showing no ill effects by midyear. Profitability remained high, loan quality was favorable, and loan growth and deposit growth were both healthy. Community banks in district states also compared favorably with their peers in the rest of the nation by all four performance measures.

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Economic Indicators
The actual Economic Indicators tables from this issue of the Regional Economic Digest are not available because data have been revised. Regional Economic Indicators are available and updated monthly by research staff.

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